DSpace Repository :: Browsing by Author "Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto"

Browsing by Author "Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto"

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Open Access
Convergencia y cambio estructural en la Unión Europea
(2001) Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto; Economía; Ekonomia
Este trabajo estudia el papel desempeñado por el cambio estructural en el proceso de convergencia en productividad experimentado por las regiones europeas entre 1977 y 1990. Para ello se va a proceder a la estimación de ecuaciones de convergencia con datos regionales de sección cruzada considerando diferentes variables explicativas. Los resultados obtenidos sugieren la existencia de patrones de crecimiento de carácter mixto. Es decir, pueden existir mecanismos que favorezcan la convergencia en productividad de acuerdo con el modelo neoclásico. Sin embargo, paralelamente, el cambio estructural aparece como un factor explicativo importante en dicho proceso.
Open Access
Disparidades espaciales en productividad y estructura sectorial de las regiones europeas
(2002) Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto; Pascual Arzoz, Pedro; Rapún Gárate, Manuel; Economía; Ekonomia
El objetivo de este trabajo es analizar cuál ha sido la contribución regional y sectorial a la convergencia en productividad en la Unión Europea entre 1977 y 1999. Para ello se combina la metodología propuesta por Esteban (2000) con diversos resultados procedentes de la literatura tradicional sobre desigualdad. La evidencia empírica aportada sugiere que la desigualdad regional en productividad en la Unión Europea está estrechamente relacionada con la existencia de diferencias estructurales entre regiones. Asimismo, los resultados obtenidos permiten respaldar la relevancia teórica de los modelos de crecimiento unisectoriales a la hora de explicar las disparidades regionales en renta por habitante en el ámbito europeo.
Open Access
Do wealth levels affect the contribution to negative externalities?
(Elsevier, 2020) Benito Ostolaza, Juan Miguel; Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto; Osés Eraso, Nuria; Ekonomia; Institute for Advanced Research in Business and Economics - INARBE; Economía
This paper experimentally explores the link between poverty and decisions that lead environmental degradation. In the experiment, individuals with different wealth levels play a game that describes environmental degradation as a contribution to an activity that generates a negative externality. The experimental data show that wealth levels not related to the environment (exogenous poverty) play no significant role in environmental decisions. However, the variation in wealth as a consequence of the contribution to environmental degradation (endogenous poverty) affects the behavior of individuals, that enter a spiral of poverty and environmental degradation. These results suggest the existence of a poverty-environment trap.
Open Access
Does ethnic segregation matter for spatial inequality?
(Oxford University Press, 2017) Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto; Rodríguez Pose, Andrés; Ekonomia; Institute for Advanced Research in Business and Economics - INARBE; Economía
The article examines the link between ethnic segregation and spatial inequality in 71 countries with different levels of economic development. The results reveal that ethnic segregation is associated with significantly higher levels of spatial inequality. This finding is not affected by the inclusion of various covariates that may influence both spatial inequality and the geographical distribution of ethnic groups, and is confirmed by a number of robustness tests. The results also suggest that political decentralisation and government quality could act as transmission channels linking ethnic segregation and spatial inequality.
Open Access
Does globalization promote civil war? An empirical research
(2015) Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto; Manotas Hidalgo, Beatriz; Economía; Ekonomia
This paper investigates the empirical relationship between globalization and in-trastate conflict in a sample of 160 countries over the period 1970-2009. To that end, we use a measure of globalization that distinguishes the social and political dimensions of integration from the economic dimension, thus allowing us to adopt a broader perspective than in most of existing studies and examine the effect of these three distinct aspects of globalization on civil violence. The results of the paper show that the degree of integration with the rest of the world contributes significantly to increasing the incidence of civil wars, in direct contrast to arguments which defend that globalization has the beneficial effect of deterring internal armed conficts. In particular, the dimension of globalization that most robustly relates with internal confict is economic integration. Our findings are not affected by the inclusion of additional explanatory variables in the analysis, or by changes in the definition of civil war. Likewise, the relationship observed between the degree of integration and civil violence does not seem to be driven by countries located in the most confictive regions in the world.
Open Access
Education and gender bias in the sex ratio at birth: evidence from India
(Duke University Press, 2010-02-01) Echavarri, Rebeca; Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto; Economía; Ekonomia; Institute for Advanced Research in Business and Economics - INARBE
This article investigates the possible existence of a nonlinear link between female disadvantage in natality and education. To this end, we devise a theoretical model based on the key role of social interaction in explaining people¿s acquisition of preferences, which justifies the existence of a nonmonotonic relationship between female disadvantage in natality and education. The empirical validity of the proposed model is examined for the case of India, using district-level data. In this context, our econometric analysis pays particular attention to the role of spatial dependence to avoid any potential problems of misspecification. The results confirm that the relationship between the sex ratio at birth and education in India follows an inverted U-shape. This finding is robust to the inclusion of additional explanatory variables in the analysis, and to the choice of the spatial weight matrix used to quantify the spatial interdependence between the sample districts.
Open Access
Essays in decentralization: efficiency, shadow economy and regional resilience
(2017) Ubago Martínez, Yolanda; Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto; Pascual Arzoz, Pedro; Economía; Ekonomia
Fiscal decentralization, that is, the allocation of tax and spending powers to lower levels of government, is now an established policy objective in many developed and developing countries. This trend towards decentralization has stimulated investigation into its effects in several areas, such as economic growth; regional disparities; interpersonal inequality and poverty; government quality; civil conflict and terrorism. This thesis focuses on two issues that have received only minor attention in the literature on the effects of decentralization. The first chapter of the thesis attempts to fill this gap by examining the effects of fiscal decentralization on technical efficiency in several OECD countries. Chapter 1 provides evidence on the relationship between fiscal decentralization and technical efficiency. There are, to the best of our knowledge, no studies addressing the subject of technical efficiency as a key aspect of the potential impact of decentralization. It is therefore an original contribution, since it evaluates the effects of fiscal decentralization on technical efficiency not by examining government or public sector performance, but by examining technical efficiency in the economic activity of the country as a whole. The first stage of this study begins with a Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) to obtain technical efficiency estimates for a sample of 23 Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) countries over the period 1992 to 2009. A second stage explores the effects of fiscal decentralization and other control variables on technical efficiency. Considering all the control variables, the results reveal a statistically significant negative relationship between fiscal decentralization of public expenditure and technical efficiency. The second chapter of the thesis studies the effects of decentralization on shadow economy. It is aimed at providing empirical evidence on the various effects of decentralization on the size of the shadow economy. The study employs an econometric model with panel data for a sample of 23 OECD countries over the period 1999 to 2009 and indicators of fiscal decentralization of expenditure and revenue. A second stage explores the effects of fiscal decentralization on shadow economy using disaggregated expenditure data (education, health and social protection). The results reveal a statistically significant negative relationship between fiscal decentralization of public expenditure and shadow economy. The same is found for decentralization of expenditure in education and social protection, which negatively affects shadow economy. The findings suggest that fiscal decentralization is an appropriate instrument for reducing shadow economy. These results are consistent with previous findings in the literature (Feld and Frey, 2002; Torgler, 2005a and Torgler, 2005b). Little research has been done so far on the economic performance of the regions in decentralized countries. This study can contribute to this strand of the literature by studying the resilience of Spanish regions. Spain is a good example of a decentralized country where recent decades have seen a variety of regional growth patterns. This makes it a perfect candidate for this analysis. Chapter three of the thesis analyzes the characteristics that most influence the resilience of a region. The analysis begins with the construction of a new composite index of resilience for the 17 regions of Spain in the different periods of recession and recovery from 1980 to 2015. The DEA approach is used to obtain this new index. A second stage analyses the factors that could contribute to regional resilience. The regions were characterised by means of multiple factor analysis, chosen for its strong potential for defining homogeneous groups of objects, or, in this case, regions. Variables were selected to determine regional recovery capacity. Differences between the new index of resilience and that of Martin (2012) are also analysed. The findings suggest that regions with productive structures focused on market services show a higher index of resilience in periods of recovery, whereas those focused on industry are more resilient in periods of crisis. Thus, the resilience of the Spanish regions varies according to their productive structures and specialisation.
Open Access
Essays in spatial econometrics
(2016) Ríos Ibáñez, Vicente; Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto; Pascual Arzoz, Pedro; Economía; Ekonomia
This thesis is an attempt to obtain further insight into the role of spatial and dynamic linkages in the field of Economics given the crucial need for a better understanding of the fundamental processes behind the spatial and temporal correlation patterns observable in the economic data. To date, most theoretical economic models and econometric studies have treated units of analysis as isolated entities, ignoring the spatial characteristics of the data and the potential role of space in modulating the economic evolution of countries, regions, municipalities, etc. In this regard, the essence of spatial economic analysis is that space matters. This implies that what happens in one economic unit of analysis is linked to what happens in neighboring economic units. In a spatial economic modeling framework, the spatial dimension and geographical arrangement of interacting economic agents are key drivers of economic processes and their final outcomes. The recognition of the wide range of interconnections between the interacting agents in economics requires to accommodate such interdependence in the modeling process and in order to verify models of social and spatial interaction, these spatial effects need to be explicitly accounted for. Failure to take into account spatial dependence and spatial heterogeneity in econometric models leads to major estimation problems because the coefficient estimates will be biased, inconsistent and/or inefficient. A distinct and innovative feature of this research is the use of static and dynamic spatial panel data estimation techniques for the empirical testing and validation of the theoretical models developed in the different chapters. This methodological approach is particularly appropriate for the analysis of economic phenomena from an integrated space-time perspective because it allows to model spillover, feedback and diffusion effects among the study units. Frequentist Spatial Econometrics modeling tools are complemented with Bayesian Spatial Econometrics and Relative Importance metrics in order to gain knowledge about the type of connectivity structures, the underlying spatial processes behind the observable data and to carry out inference in the relevance of the different factors explaining disparities among spatial units in time. The structure of this thesis consists of four self-contained chapters. Chapter 1 analyzes the volatility-regional growth nexus in a sample of European regions. To that end, a model of stochastic neoclassical growth with spatial interdependence is developed. In this framework, the economic growth rate of a particular region is affected not only by its own degree of volatility but also by the output fluctuations experienced by the remaining regions. In order to investigate the empirical validity of this result, the link between volatility and economic growth is examined in a sample of 272 European regions over the period 1991-2011 using a variety of static spatial pane specifications including spatial fixed effects. The results suggest the existence of a robust negative link between volatility and growth. Chapter 2 investigates regional development dynamics in a sample of 254 NUTS 2 European Union regions over the period 2000–2010. To that end, a new version of the Regional Lisbon Index (RLI) containing changes with respect the index developed by Dijkstra is proposed. The RLI employment, education and R&D indicators. Targets for these indicators are related to an action and economic development plan for the EU regions and have been incorporated into European Regional Policy programming. The analysis of regional development is based on the estimation of the spatial Durbin model. Different specifications of the spatial weights matrix describing the spatial arrangement are compared by means of Spatial Bayesian Econometrics techniques. The salient finding of this chapter is that the main drivers of the RLI growth rate are technological capital, infrastructures and employment growth. Chapter 3 analyzes unemployment differentials in 241 European regions during the period 2000-2011. To that end, a theoretical model with substantive spatial interactions among regions is developed. The solution implies a Dynamic Spatial Durbin Model specification including regional and institutional level factors as explanatory variables. In conjunction with dynamic-spatial panel estimates, relative importance metrics are used to quantify the effect of regional disequilibrium, equilibrium and national level factors. Relative importance analysis suggests that during the pre-crisis period unemployment disparities were mainly driven by regional level equilibrium factors. Nevertheless, labor market institutions are of major importance to explain increasing disparities during 2009-2011. Chapter 4 looks into the nature of fiscal policy interactions in local fiscal policy in Spain. This study extends traditional spatial spillover models of government spending by including dynamic effects in order to test the relevance of the incremental budget hypothesis stemming from political science research. The theoretical model developed in this study points out to an empirical specification including simultaneous and lagged endogenous interactions among the sample of municipalities, as well as exogenous interaction effects. To that end, a Dynamic Spatial Durbin panel data model is used to quantify the relevance of spatial spillovers and diffusion effects over time. Using annual data for a sample of 1230 Spanish municipalities during 2000 to 2012, it is observed that: there are significant positive simultaneous spatial spillovers in different government expenditure categories and that the incremental hypothesis stemming from political science has a greater explanatory power than that of spatial spillovers.
Open Access
Essays on globalization and conflict: the impact of income and environmental shocks in Africa
(2021) Manotas Hidalgo, Beatriz; Galdón Sánchez, José Enrique; Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto; Economía; Ekonomia; Gobierno de Navarra / Nafarroako Gobernua
El objetivo de esta tesis es abordar las causas y las consecuencias de los conflictos en un mundo globalizado. Para ello se considera la importancia de los patrones espaciales y el uso de datos geolocalizados, a la hora de abordar los problemas de causalidad en modelos econométricos con datos en panel y con datos de corte transversal repetidos. En el segundo capítulo de esta tesis, analizamos el vínculo entre la globalización y la incidencia de los conflictos civiles para un conjunto de datos de panel de 159 países durante el período 1972-2009. Para ello, distinguimos varias dimensiones de la globalización identificadas en la literatura de economía política, como son la globalización económica, social y política. Abordamos la endogeneidad potencial de las variables de globalización con la introducción de efectos fijos por país en el análisis. Además, utilizamos un enfoque de variables instrumentales para estimar el efecto causal del grado de integración sobre el conflicto. En el tercer capítulo, utilizamos información geo localizada para estudiar cómo los factores étnicos se interrelacionan con las variaciones de ingresos relacionadas con los alimentos, en los conflictos africanos, con el fin de explicar los procesos subyacentes del mismo. Para ello, proponemos el uso de una base de datos de panel, de una cuadrícula completa de países africanos divididos en unidades sub nacionales de 0,5 por 0,5 grados de latitud y longitud (10.638 celdas), que cubre el período 1998-2013. Contribuimos a la literatura anterior analizando varias teorías sobre los efectos de los shocks de ingresos en los conflictos, utilizando datos geo localizados que consideran la interacción entre estas variaciones de ingresos y la diversidad étnica. Finalmente, en el cuarto capítulo, examino el daño ambiental que podría derivarse de los conflictos, como son los derrames de petróleo en Nigeria, y su impacto en la producción agrícola. Utilizo un marco conceptual sobre la producción y consumo en los hogares, para comprender cómo la contaminación por derrames de petróleo, puede generar ajustes en el comportamiento óptimo de los hogares. A continuación, estimo una función de producción agrícola utilizando un modelo de corte transversal repetido, con microdatos georreferenciados para un conjunto de hogares agrícolas, y cuatro paneles de encuestas entre los años 2009 y 2018, ambos incluidos, de la base de datos Nigeria General Household Survey (GHS-Panel). Para calcular una variable proxy de la contaminación por derrames de petróleo, creo una función que utiliza datos geoespaciales con información sobre alrededor de 12.000 derrames de petróleo del Nigerian Oil Spill Monitor.
Open Access
Fiscal decentralization and internal conflict: an empirical investigation
(2013) Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto; Economía; Ekonomia
This paper examines the relationship between fiscal decentralization and internal conflict in 77 countries during the period 1972-2000. The results show that the devolution of scal power to subnational tiers of government reduces the incidence of civil conflict. This finding is robust to the inclusion in the analysis of the degree of political decentralization and of a number of control variables commonly employed in the literature. Likewise, the observed relationship does not depend on the estimation strategy or the specific measures used to quantify the degree of fiscal decentralization and the incidence of civil conflicts within the various countries.
Open Access
Geografía y dinámica de la desigualdad regional en la Unión Europea
(2002) Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto; Gil Canaleta, Carlos; Pascual Arzoz, Pedro; Rapún Gárate, Manuel; Economía; Ekonomia
¿Son permanentes o temporales los desequilibrios de renta entre regiones? El objetivo de este trabajo es analizar la evolución de la desigualdad regional en renta por habitante en la Unión Europea en el período 1977-1999. A diferencia de la literatura tradicional sobre convergencia, el método de trabajo empleado se basa en el cálculo de un conjunto de medidas utilizadas en el estudio dinámico de la distribución personal de la renta. Ahora bien, como la unidad de referencia es la región y no el individuo, procederemos a introducir en el análisis la dimensión poblacional. De esta manera, los indicadores calculados serán estadísticos ponderados de acuerdo con la población relativa. Asimismo, las diferentes medidas se obtienen para diversos niveles de desagregación temporal y geográfica, con el fin de detectar posibles patrones de comportamiento diferenciados en el tiempo y en el espacio.
Open Access
Globalization and spatial inequality: does economic integration affect regional disparities?
(Springer, 2021-02-19) Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto; Villar Olano, Alba del; Economía; Ekonomia; Institute for Advanced Research in Business and Economics - INARBE
This article examines the link between economic globalization and spatial inequality in a panel of 142 countries over the period 1992¿2012. Our instrumental variables estimates reveal a strong causal effect of the degree of economic integration with the rest of the world on spatial inequality, indicating that the advances in the process of globalization currently underway contribute to significantly increasing regional income disparities. This means that globalization leads to the emergence of losing and winning regions within countries and that the group of losing (winning) regions tends to be made up of low (high-)-income regions. This result has to do with the regressive spatial impact of actual economic flows, while existing restrictions on trade and capital do not exert a significant effect in this context. Our findings are robust to the inclusion in the analysis of different covariates that may be correlated with both spatial inequality and globalization and are not driven by a specific group of influential countries. Likewise, the observed relationship between economic integration and spatial inequality does not depend on the measures used to quantify the magnitude of regional income disparities within the various countries. At the same time, our estimates suggest that the spatial impact of globalization is contingent on the level of economic development.
Open Access
Group concentration and violence: does ethnic segregation affect domestic terrorism?
(Taylor & Francis, 2019) Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto; Economía; Ekonomia
This paper examines the link between ethnic segregation and domestic terrorism. The results show that ethnic segregation has a positive and significant effect on the incidence of domestic terrorism, which indicates that countries where ethnic groups are spatially concentrated face a higher risk of suffering this type of violence. This finding is not affected by the inclusion in the analysis of different covariates that may affect both ethnic segregation and domestic terrorism. The observed relationship between the degree of spatial concentration of ethnic groups and domestic terrorism is confirmed by various robustness tests. The results also suggest that the threat of secession is an important transmission channel linking ethnic segregation and domestic terrorism.
Open Access
Individualism and political instability
(Elsevier, 2021-01-01) Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto; Economía; Ekonomia; Institute for Advanced Research in Business and Economics - INARBE
This paper examines the relationship between the individualism-collectivism dimension of culture and political instability using a dataset covering around 100 countries. To shed light on the causal effect of culture on political instability, the identification strategy exploits the variation in historical pathogen prevalence and the information provided by the genetic distance between countries. The results reveal that individualism has a negative and statistically significant impact on the degree of political instability, which means that this cultural trait contributes to making the political environment more stable. This finding is robust to the inclusion in the analysis of a substantial number of controls that may be correlated with both individualism and political instability, including other cultural dimensions. In fact, the relationship between individualism and political instability does not depend either on the specific measures used to quantify the level of individualism and political instability within the various countries or the estimation strategy adopted. The estimates also show that part of the observed effect of individualism is due to the impact of institutional quality, which acts as a transmission channel linking this cultural trait and political instability.
Open Access
Inequality, polarisation and regional mobility in the European Union
(2004) Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto; Gil Canaleta, Carlos; Pascual Arzoz, Pedro; Rapún Gárate, Manuel; Economía; Ekonomia
This paper examines the distribution dynamics of regional per capita income in the European Union between 1977 and 1999. To achieve this aim, we combine a non-parametric approach with the information provided by various measures used in the literature on personal income distribution. The results obtained suggest that regional inequality and polarisation have decreased in the European context over the period considered. Likewise, the observed level of intradistributional mobility is relatively low. Furthermore, our findings reveal the important role played by the national component and the spatial dimension in the distribution dynamics.
Open Access
Inestabilidad interna y violencia política: un análisis desde la econometría espacial
(2017) Moler Zapata, Silvia; Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto; Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales; Ekonomia eta Enpresa Zientzien Fakultatea
En este trabajo se busca profundizar en la identificación y aplicación de las técnicas de la Econometría Espacial. En un estudio en el que se busca identificar los determinantes de la inestabilidad política y la violencia interna en los países, se ha querido poner énfasis en el análisis de los datos de naturaleza espacial. Este realce de la importancia de las particularidades que tienen este tipo de datos, pasa por la identificación de los distintos efectos espaciales que pueden surgir con datos de esta naturaleza y la aplicación de las técnicas más apropiadas cuando se ha contrastado su presencia. En este análisis de la inestabilidad política se han aplicado una amplia variedad de técnicas econométricas, contrastes y modelos de estimación que enriquecen y ratifican los resultados que se puedan extraer en el trabajo.
Open Access
International capital flows
(2019) Villar Olano, Alba del; Casares Polo, Miguel; Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto; Economía; Ekonomia
This thesis uses modern macroeconomic modeling techniques and panel data econometrics to quantitatively measure the determinants of financial globalization and its e↵ects on advanced and developing economies. The first two chapters of this thesis provide the starting point for the quantitative analysis of international gross capital flows and valuation e↵ects between two asymmetric countries and it serves policymakers to quantify these matters in an diaphanous manner. In the first chapter, I construct a novel two-country DSGE model with endogenous portfolio choice to study the role of structural asymmetries in explaining the size and composition of capital flows between emerging and advanced economies. In the second chapter, we calibrate an extension to the previous model in order to discuss the potential determinants of the large increase in Canadian Net Foreign Assets with the US observed after 2012. The last two chapters of this thesis provide an econometric analysis which uses empirical data at the world level to quantitatively measure economic integration determinants and its e↵ects. In the third chapter, we examine the link between economic globalization and spatial inequality in a panel of 142 countries over the period 1992-2012 using instrumental variable techniques. In the fourth chapter, I provide results to show how the Lucas Paradox has turned even more pronounced during the Great Recession than in the previous decades.
Open Access
Interregional inequality and civil conflict: are spatial disparities a threat to stability and peace?
(Taylor and Francis Group, 2018-03-23) Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto; Economía; Ekonomia; Institute for Advanced Research in Business and Economics - INARBE
This article examines the link between interregional inequality and civil conflict in a panel of 125 countries over the period 1993¿2013. The results show that the level of interregional inequality has a positive and statistically significant effect on the incidence of civil conflict, which implies that countries with higher regional income disparities are more likely to experience internal violence. This result is not driven by a specific group of influential countries and is robust to the inclusion in the analysis of a substantial set of covariates that may affect both interregional inequality and civil conflict. Likewise, the observed link between regional income disparities and internal violence does not depend either on the estimation strategy or the measures used to quantify the degree of interregional inequality and the incidence of civil conflict within the various countries. These results suggest that policies designed to decrease the magnitude of regional income disparities may contribute to reducing the incidence of civil conflict.
Open Access
Irrigation agriculture and income redistribution
(Springer, 2025-05-15) Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto; Economía; Ekonomia; Institute for Advanced Research in Business and Economics - INARBE; Universidad Pública de Navarra / Nafarroako Unibertsitate Publikoa
This paper advances the hypothesis and establishes empirically that the adoption of irrigation agriculture during the preindustrial era is a predictor of current cross-country differences in income redistribution. Countries whose populations historically relied on irrigation agriculture as their primary subsistence mode tend to exhibit lower levels of redistribution today, confirming that certain historical practices related to agriculture can have lasting effects on present-day outcomes. The research employs several empirical strategies to address concerns about the potential endogeneity of ancestral irrigation, including an instrumental variable approach that exploits cross-country variation in irrigation suitability. Furthermore, the results remain unaffected after controlling for an extensive set of geographic, historical and contemporary factors that may be correlated with both historical irrigation and redistribution. The analysis also reveals that the contribution of ancestral irrigation to income redistribution has partly operated through its impact on the individualistic-collectivist dimension of culture and political institutions.
Open Access
Is there a link between globalisation and civil conflict?
(Wiley, 2017) Ezcurra Orayen, Roberto; Manotas Hidalgo, Beatriz; Economía; Ekonomia
This paper investigates the empirical relationship between globalisation and civil conflict in a sample of 159 countries over the period 1972–2009. To that end, we use a measure of globalisation that distinguishes the social and political dimensions of integration from the economic dimension, thus allowing us to adopt a broader perspective than in most of existing studies. The results show that the inclusion of country fixed effects removes the statistical association between the degree of integration with the rest of the world and the incidence of internal conflict. We present instrumental variables estimates that also show no causal effect of globalisation on civil conflict. These findings do not depend either on the specific dimension of globalisation considered or the measure of conflict used in the analysis. Likewise, the absence of a relationship between globalisation and civil conflict is not driven by countries located in the most conflictive regions in the world.