Publication:
Game, set and match: the favorite long-shot bias in tennis betting exchanges

Consultable a partir de

2017-11-02

Date

2016

Director

Publisher

Taylor & Francis
Acceso abierto / Sarbide irekia
Artículo / Artikulua
Versión aceptada / Onetsi den bertsioa

Project identifier

MINECO//ECO2012-35946-C02-01/ES/recolecta

Abstract

We test for the existence of Favorite-Longshot Bias (FLB) in tennis betting exchanges. Despite these being order-driven markets, with no direct participation from bookmakers, we have found very similar results to those obtained by Lahvička (2014) for bookmakers’ betting markets: the bias is stronger in matches between lower ranked players, in later round matches and in high profile tournaments. This suggests that bookmakers’ adjustments to respond to informed betting are not the main driver of FLB. The varying magnitude of the bias across different types of event in the main market also weakens arguments linking FLB to gamblers’ risk preferences, and suggests the need to consider the microstructure features of the market together with the cognitive biases highlighted in the behavioral finance literature.

Description

This is an accepted manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Applied Economics Letters on May 2016, available online: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2015.1093074

Keywords

Favorite longshot bias, Sports betting exchanges, Microstructure, Market efficiency

Department

Gestión de Empresas / Enpresen Kudeaketa

Faculty/School

Degree

Doctorate program

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© 2015 Taylor & Francis

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