Publication:
Detecting intentional herding: what lies beneath intraday data in the Spanish stock market

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Date

2011

Authors

Blasco de las Heras, Natividad
Ferreruela Garcés, Sandra

Director

Publisher

Palgrave Macmillan
Acceso abierto / Sarbide irekia
Artículo / Artikulua
Versión aceptada / Onetsi den bertsioa

Project identifier

Abstract

This paper examines the intentional herd behaviour of market participants, using Li´s test to compare the probability distributions of the scaled cross-sectional deviation in returns in the intraday market with the cross-sectional deviation in returns in an “artificially created” market free of intentional herding effects. The analysis is carried out for both the overall market and a sample of the most representative stocks. Additionally, a bootstrap procedure is applied in order to gain a deeper understanding of the differences across the distributions under study. The results show that the Spanish market exhibits a significant intraday herding effect that is not detected using other traditional herding measures when familiar and heavily traded stocks are analysed. Furthermore, it is suggested that intentional herding is likely to be better revealed using intraday data, and that the use of a lower frequency data may obscure results revealing imitative behaviour in the market.

Description

This is a post-peer-review, pre-copyedit version of an article published in Journal of Operational Research Society. The definitive publisher-authenticated version [Blasco, N., Corredor, P. and Ferreruela, S. (2011): Detecting intentional herding: what lies beneath intraday data in the Spanish stock market. Journal of the Operational Research Society 62, 1056–1066. doi:10.1057/jors.2010.34] is available online at: http://www.palgrave-journals.com/jors/journal/v62/n6/pdf/jors201034a.pdf

Keywords

Behaviour, Herding, Finance, Time series

Department

Gestión de Empresas / Enpresen Kudeaketa

Faculty/School

Degree

Doctorate program

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