The Temporal Distortion Index (TDI): a new procedure to analyze solar radiation forecasts
| dc.contributor.author | Gastón Romeo, Martín | |
| dc.contributor.author | Frías Paredes, Laura | |
| dc.contributor.author | Fernández-Peruchena, Carlos | |
| dc.contributor.author | Mallor Giménez, Fermín | |
| dc.contributor.department | Estadística e Investigación Operativa | es_ES |
| dc.contributor.department | Estatistika eta Ikerketa Operatiboa | eu |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2024-11-18T12:30:10Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2024-11-18T12:30:10Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2017-06-27 | |
| dc.date.updated | 2024-11-18T12:26:23Z | |
| dc.description.abstract | In this work a new point of view to evaluate prediction models is presented. It is captured by mean of a novelty dissimilarity measure among time series, the Temporal Distortion Index (TDI), which compiles a new methodology to evaluate and control the solar radiation prediction models. This methodology complements the traditional verification measures found in the literature by adding the evaluation of the impact that time misalignments produces in the forecast accuracy. This new measure of error will allow a deeper knowledge of the prediction model behaviour besides a bi-criteria perspective to the problem of comparing different forecasts. The information about temporal features of the forecasts could play a key role in tasks as combination of different prediction models, Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) plants operation or energy grid integration. | en |
| dc.description.sponsorship | This work is framed in the Predictable and Flexible Solar Power with Molten Salt Energy Storage (PreFlexMS) project, which has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme. | |
| dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | en |
| dc.identifier.citation | Gastón, M., Frías-Paredes, L., Fernández-Peruchena, C., Mallor, F. (2017) The Temporal Distortion Index (TDI): a new procedure to analyze solar radiation forecasts. AIP Conference Proceedings, 1850, 1400081-1400088. https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4984517 | |
| dc.identifier.doi | 10.1063/1.4984517 | |
| dc.identifier.issn | 0094-243X | |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://academica-e.unavarra.es/handle/2454/52527 | |
| dc.language.iso | eng | |
| dc.publisher | American Institute of Physics | |
| dc.relation.ispartof | AIP Conference Proceedings, 1850(1), 1400081-1400088 | |
| dc.relation.publisherversion | https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4984517 | |
| dc.rights | © 2017 Author(s) | |
| dc.rights.accessRights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess | |
| dc.subject | Temporal Distortion Index (TDI) | en |
| dc.subject | Prediction model evaluation | en |
| dc.subject | Solar radiation forecasting | en |
| dc.subject | Time misalignment impact | en |
| dc.title | The Temporal Distortion Index (TDI): a new procedure to analyze solar radiation forecasts | en |
| dc.type | info:eu-repo/semantics/article | |
| dc.type.version | info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion | |
| dspace.entity.type | Publication | |
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