Growing pains: can family policies revert the decline of fertility in Spain?

Elizalde San Miguel, Begoña; Díaz Gandasegui, Vicente; Sanz, María T.

Growing pains: can family policies revert the decline of fertility in Spain?

dc.contributor.author	Elizalde San Miguel, Begoña
dc.contributor.author	Díaz Gandasegui, Vicente
dc.contributor.author	Sanz, María T.
dc.contributor.department	Sociología y Trabajo Social	es_ES
dc.contributor.department	Soziologia eta Gizarte Lana	eu
dc.date.accessioned	2023-02-15T14:18:37Z
dc.date.available	2023-02-15T14:18:37Z
dc.date.issued	2023
dc.date.updated	2023-02-15T13:13:35Z
dc.description.abstract	This article aims to analyze the capability of family policies to reverse the sharp decline in fertility that has been observed in Spain in recent decades. The analysis was carried out by applying two mathematical techniques: the genetic algorithm and the strategic scenarios. Firstly, a mathematical model was designed and validated adjusting the combined performance of fertility and family policies during the 2008–2019 period. Subsequently, this model was applied to the future (2020–2060) to extrapolate the evolution of fertility considering different models of family policies. The results demonstrate that a model of family policies that is coherent with other socially desirable objectives, such as gender and social equality, will be insufficient to reverse the current downward trend in fertility. Therefore, these outcomes point to the need to articulate and harmonize diverse public policies considering the principles of equality and well‐being to modify the recent decline in fertility. An increase in fertility must therefore be identified as a socially desirable goal and public policies must be adapted to this objective, in the understanding that fertility not only requires family policies but also their coherence with the employment and educational policies and work–life balance mechanisms offered by public institutions.	en
dc.description.sponsorship	This study was conducted under the competitive research project Problemas no Lineales en Ciencias Naturales y Ciencias Sociales (Nonlinear Problems in Natural Sciences and Social Sciences; PID2020- 112517GB-I00), funded by the Spanish Ministry of Sciences and Innovation. It was also supported by the Department of Social Analysis of the Carlos III University of Madrid.	en
dc.format.mimetype	application/pdf	en
dc.identifier.citation	Elizalde-San Miguel, B., Díaz-Gandasegui, V., Sanz García, M. T. (2023) Growing pains: can family policies revert the decline of fertility in Spain?. Social Inclusion, 11(1), 1-13. https://doi.org/10.17645/si.v11i1.6141.	en
dc.identifier.doi	10.17645/si.v11i1.6141
dc.identifier.issn	2183-2803
dc.identifier.uri	https://academica-e.unavarra.es/handle/2454/44718
dc.language.iso	eng	en
dc.publisher	Cogitatio	en
dc.relation.ispartof	Social Inclusion, 2023, Volume 11, Issue 1, Pages 1-13	en
dc.relation.projectID	info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/MICINN//PID2020– 112517GB‐I00/
dc.relation.publisherversion	https://doi.org/10.17645/si.v11i1.6141
dc.rights	© Begoña Elizalde¿San Miguel, Vicente Díaz Gandasegui, María T. Sanz. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license.	en
dc.rights.accessRights	info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rights.uri	https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subject	Family policies	en
dc.subject	Fertility	en
dc.subject	Genetic algorithms	en
dc.subject	Spain	en
dc.subject	Strategic scenarios	en
dc.title	Growing pains: can family policies revert the decline of fertility in Spain?	en
dc.type	info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type.version	info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dspace.entity.type	Publication
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