Open Access
Comparative study of nonparametric and parametric PV models to forecast AC power output of PV plants
(EU PVSEC, 2015) Almeida, Marcelo Pinho; Muñoz Escribano, Mikel; Parra Laita, Íñigo de la; Perpiñán, Óscar; Narvarte Fernández, Luis; Ingeniería Eléctrica y Electrónica; Ingeniaritza Elektrikoa eta Elektronikoa
In this paper, a comparison between two approaches to predict the AC power output of PV systems is carried out in terms of forecast performance. Each approach uses one of the two main types of PV modeling, parametric and nonparametric, and both use as inputs several forecasts of meteorological variables from a Numerical Weather Prediction model. Furthermore, actual AC power measurements of a PV plant are used to train the nonparametric model, to adjust the parameters of the different PV components models used in the parametric approach and to assess the quality of the forecasts. The approaches presented similar behavior, although the nonparametric approach, based on Quantile Regression Forests, showed smaller biased errors due to the machine learning tool used.
Open Access
Worst expected ramp rates from cloud speed measurements
(IEEE, 2019) Wang, Guang Chao; Bosch, Juan Luis; Kurtz, Ben; Parra Laita, Íñigo de la; Wu, Elynn; Institute of Smart Cities - ISC
Large PV power ramp rates are of concern and sometimes even explicitly restricted by grid operators. Battery energy storage systems can smooth the power output and maintain ramp rates within permissible limits. To enable PV plant and energy storage systems design and planning, a method to estimate the largest expected ramps for a given location is proposed. Because clouds are the dominant source of PV power output variability, an analytical relationship between the worst expected ramp rates, cloud motion vectors, and the geometrical layout of the PV plant is developed. The ability of the proposed method to bracket actual ramp rates is assessed over 8 months under different meteorological conditions, demonstrating an average compliance rate of 96.9% for a 2 min evaluation time window.
Open Access
Control strategies to smooth short-term power fluctuations in large photovoltaic plants using battery storage systems
(MDPI, 2014) Marcos Álvarez, Javier; Parra Laita, Íñigo de la; García Solano, Miguel; Marroyo Palomo, Luis; Ingeniería Eléctrica y Electrónica; Ingeniaritza Elektrikoa eta Elektronikoa
The variations in irradiance produced by changes in cloud cover can cause rapid fluctuations in the power generated by large photovoltaic (PV) plants. As the PV power share in the grid increases, such fluctuations may adversely affect power quality and reliability. Thus, energy storage systems (ESS) are necessary in order to smooth power fluctuations below the maximum allowable. This article first proposes a new control strategy (step-control), to improve the results in relation to two state-of-the-art strategies, ramp-rate control and moving average. It also presents a method to quantify the storage capacity requirements according to the three different smoothing strategies and for different PV plant sizes. Finally, simulations shows that, although the moving-average (MA) strategy requires the smallest capacity, it presents more losses (2–3 times more) and produces a much higher number of cycles over the ESS (around 10 times more), making it unsuitable with storage technologies as lithium-ion. The step-control shown as a better option in scenery with exigent ramp restrictions (around 2%/min) and distributed generation against the ramp-rate control in all ESS key aspects: 20% less of capacity, up to 30% less of losses and a 40% less of ageing. All the simulations were based on real PV production data, taken every 5 s in the course of one year (2012) from a number of systems with power outputs ranging from 550 kW to 40 MW.
Open Access
Maximum expected ramp rates using cloud speed sensor measurements
(American Institute of Physics, 2020) Wang, Guang Chao; Kurtz, Ben; Bosch, Juan Luis; Parra Laita, Íñigo de la; Kleissl, Jan; Ingeniaritza Elektrikoa, Elektronikoaren eta Telekomunikazio Ingeniaritzaren; Institute of Smart Cities - ISC; Ingeniería Eléctrica, Electrónica y de Comunicación
Large ramps and ramp rates in photovoltaic (PV) power output are of concern and sometimes even explicitly restricted by grid operators. Battery energy storage systems can smooth the power output and maintain ramp rates within permissible limits. To enable PV plant and energy storage system design and planning, a method to estimate the largest expected ramps for a given location is proposed. Because clouds are the dominant source of PV power output variability, an analytical relationship between the worst expected ramp rate, cloud motion vector, and the geometrical layout of the PV plant is developed. The ability of the proposed method to bracket actual ramp rates is assessed over 10 months under different meteorological conditions, demonstrating an average compliance rate of 98.9% for a 2 min evaluation time window. The largest observed ramp of 29.7% s(-1)is contained with the worst case estimate of 34.3% s(-1). This method provides a convenient yet economical approach to worst-case PV ramp rate modeling and is compatible with solar irradiance measured at coarse temporal resolution.
Open Access
Role of student associations in the acquisition of competences in university engineering programs
(IEEE, 2023) Samanes Pascual, Javier; Parra Laita, Íñigo de la; Berrueta Irigoyen, Alberto; Rosado Galparsoro, Leyre; Soto Cabria, Adrián; Elizondo Martínez, David; Catalán Ros, Leyre; Sanchis Gúrpide, Pablo; Institute of Smart Cities - ISC
Students in the STEM field (Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics), do not only require deep technical knowledge, but a complete set of global skills related to management, teamwork, lifelong learning, personal development, communications skills or proactiveness, abilities often referred as soft-skills. Student-led organizations, and specifically, university student associations, are one of the best alternatives to promote the acquisition of soft-skills in STEM high education fields. These skills are competences already included in official university programs that can hardly be addressed or acquired from traditional university education. This article studies how student enrollment in student led organizations (SLOs), with an active participation on their organization and activities, allows engineering students to achieve a better development of these soft skills. As case study, a medium size university, with 9000-students and eleven SLOs, six of them focused on STEM related fields, is used in this paper. A survey is conducted among the university community to identify their degree of participation in SLOs, and to test whether participation in these initiatives increases students' self-perception of their soft skill acquisition during their university studies. This survey shows how students of engineering programs, with a high degree of involvement in SLOs, demonstrated greater confidence in their soft skills at the end of their university years.
Open Access
Outdoor performance of a CdTe based PV generator during 5 years of operation
(IEEE, 2022) Guerra Menjívar, Moisés Roberto; Parra Laita, Íñigo de la; Marcos Álvarez, Javier; García Solano, Miguel; Marroyo Palomo, Luis; Ingeniería Eléctrica, Electrónica y de Comunicación; Institute of Smart Cities - ISC; Ingeniaritza Elektrikoa, Elektronikoaren eta Telekomunikazio Ingeniaritzaren
Together with the huge growth of the traditional crystalline silicon (Si-x) PV manufacturers, other thin-film solar cells have also emerged such as cadmium telluride (CdTe) manufacturers. They are characterized by the fact that they were created to reduce costs and by the scarcity of silicon, from which the rest of the modules are made. Despite they need more space to generate the same amount of energy as crystalline modules, their price is supposed to be much lower, and argue that they have a better performance at high temperatures. However, real comparisons between the outdoor performance of CdTe and Si-x modules have been scarcely addressed in the literature. This paper provides a comparison under real operating conditions of a CdTe photovoltaic generator versus a conventional silicon generator during 5 years of operation in a mid-latitude area, identifying the causes of the differences observed.
Open Access
Influence of control in cycling degradation when batteries perform PV ramp-rate control
(IEEE, 2023) González Moreno, Alejandro; Marcos Álvarez, Javier; Parra Laita, Íñigo de la; Marroyo Palomo, Luis; Ingeniería Eléctrica, Electrónica y de Comunicación; Institute of Smart Cities - ISC; Ingeniaritza Elektrikoa, Elektronikoaren eta Telekomunikazio Ingeniaritzaren; Universidad Pública de Navarra / Nafarroako Unibertsitate Publikoa
This work studies the importance of the correct selection of control parameters in order to avoid unnecessary cycling in batteries when they perform PV smoothing. The classic ramp-rate control method (CRRC) is studied as smoothing technique and the key role of the state of charge (SOC) control is analyzed for a real 38.5 MW PV plant, particularly the influence of proportional gain (K). Depending on K, battery cycling degradation (CyD), power requirements, SOC limits and throughout energy performance were discussed. According to the results, the correct tuning could prolong battery lifespan by reducing cycling degradation up to 80% (depending on the fluctuation restrictions and K) and avoiding unnecessary energy losses, power requirements and undesirable SOC operation levels. Finally, a simple general rule is proposed to set K value when CRRC is used and its applicability is tested by simulating two additional PV plants with rated power of 1.1 and 75.6 MW.
Open Access
The potential of forecasting in reducing the LCOE in PV plants under ramp-rate restrictions
(Elsevier, 2019) Cirés Buey, Eulalia; Marcos Álvarez, Javier; Parra Laita, Íñigo de la; García Solano, Miguel; Marroyo Palomo, Luis; Ingeniería Eléctrica, Electrónica y de Comunicación; Institute of Smart Cities - ISC; Ingeniaritza Elektrikoa, Elektronikoaren eta Telekomunikazio Ingeniaritzaren
An increasing number of grid codes are requiring the limitation of the PV output power fluctuation over a given time scale. Batteries represent the most obvious solution to smooth power fluctuations, with the corresponding negative impact on the PV energy cost. However, short-term forecasting is currently being proposed as a tool to reduce battery capacity requirements or even completely remove it. Although these solutions decrease or avoid the battery cost, it also entails some energy curtailment losses which obviously raise the final cost of PV energy. This energy losses, currently unknown, are independent of the forecasting accuracy and represent the minimal additional cost in the hypothetical case of a perfect prediction. Thus, this paper compares Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) of three ramp-rate control strategies in order to determine which would give the lowest cost: battery-based, ideal short-term forecasting, or a combination of both. Results show that curtailment losses would be small enough to make battery-less strategy an appropriate choice, so it is worthwhile improving short-term forecasting in view of the potential LCOE savings. Database is taken from high resolution measurements recorded for over a year at 8 PV plants ranging from 1 to 46 MWp.
Open Access
Ramp-rate control in large PV plants: battery vs. short-term forecast
(IEEE, 2018) Marcos Álvarez, Javier; Parra Laita, Íñigo de la; Cirés Buey, Eulalia; Wang, Guang Chao; García Solano, Miguel; Marroyo Palomo, Luis; Ingeniería Eléctrica, Electrónica y de Comunicación; Ingeniaritza Elektrikoa, Elektronikoa eta Telekomunikazio Ingeniaritza; Institute of Smart Cities - ISC
The changeability in the power produced by utility-scale PV plants caused by shadows due to passing clouds can compromise grid stability. Traditionally, some kind of energy storage systems (ESS) is proposed as the solution to reduce power variations below the limits imposed by new grid codes regulations. However, recent short-term forecast sources open the door to control the variability without batteries, using only inverter limitation. This option entails some energy curtailment losses that has not been yet addressed. This paper quantifies these losses for the first time using a meaningful database of 5 s one year data for a 38.5 MW PV plant in a perfect forecast scenery. Finally, we compare the economic cost of installing a lithium-ion battery vs. the inverter limitation solution. The results obtained indicate that battery-less strategies must not be neglected for ramp-rate control, since they can be more cost-effective using perfect forecast for any ramp value.
Open Access
A tool for the performance evaluation and failure detection of Amareleja PV plant (Acciona) from SCADA
(2015) Muñoz Escribano, Mikel; Parra Laita, Íñigo de la; García Solano, Miguel; Marcos Álvarez, Javier; Pérez, Miguel; Ingeniaritza Elektrikoa eta Elektronikoa; Institute of Smart Cities - ISC; Ingeniería Eléctrica y Electrónica
This paper describes a tool developed for the performance evaluation and failure detection in a 45.6 MWp PV plant installed by the company Acciona in Amareleja (Portugal). The paper describes the PV plant configuration and its SCADA (Supervisory Control And Data Acquisition), the measured variables and the main functionalities of the software. Some of these functionalities are the automatic and accurate PSTC (Power under standard test conditions1) calculation for each generator and for the whole PV Plant, the reference production that would be delivered by the PV plant assuming a 100% availability, the hierarchy of SCADA alarms, the detection of long-term trends and degradation in PV generators, possible hidden problems in the different equipment and systems composing the PV plant, etc. This tool entered into operation in 2011 and is working properly since then.